Sunday, June 12, 2011

Offensive Four Factors: Washington Wizards

Much that was said about Washington throughout the season focused on off the court issues.  Whether it was shenanigans with Gilbert Arenas or talk about the deadline deal with Magic, little was actually said about the team's play, which makes sense, considering this was one of the worst offenses in the league.

Washington Wizards

Offensive Rating - 102.4 (28th)

Offensive Four Factors Performance

eFG%: 47.1% (29th)
TOV: 13.9% (23rd)
OREB: 28% (9th)
FTA/FGA: (23rd)

Much like the Bucks and Cavaliers, Washington's offensive struggles were primarily caused by their inability to make shots.  Washington gave 2000+ minutes to John Wall, Javale McGee, Andray Blatche and Nick Young.  Young was the only player with high usage and a somewhat decent eFG% at 49.7%.  This was mostly driven by shooting 39% from 3 at a pretty high volume (4.2 attempts/game).  Other than Young, Washington's high usage players all were abysmal in terms of shooting - below are the shooting numbers for John Wall and Andray Blatche.

John Wall - eFG% 42.7, TS% .494
Andray Blatche - eFG% 44.7, TS% .497

Both of these players were called on often and neither performed with any efficiency.

Washington's turnover problems were primarily the result of 3 players: John Wall, Andray Blatche, and Kirk Hinrich.  Hinrich was only with the team for 48 games and didn't have too high of a usage but still had a pretty terrible year in terms of protecting the ball.  Blatche was Washington's highest usage player and had turnover numbers right in line with Washington's as a team.  The worst culprit, however, was John Wall.  Wall turned the ball over an estimated 18.6 times in 100 plays.  This figure is one of the worst in the league, especially for a guard, and especially for a player that played such a large role in his team's offense.

Washington's offensive rebounding was quite good, driven largely by the play of garbageman Javale McGee.  The last factor was most in line with Washington's shooting and ballhandling woes, as their team FTA/FGA was 23rd in the league.  John Wall was the only Wizard who got to the line with any frequency.  This makes sense given the huge gap in his eFG% and his TS%.  The inability for any other Wizard to get to the line also makes sense, given their tendency to take lots of jumpshots.  Unfortunately for Washington, few of these shots went in.

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